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[nas] MLS Playoff Scenarios



Somebody at MLS spent a lot of time putting this together...

--

MLS Cup Playoff Reset - Sunday, Sept. 15, 2002
MAX
SD TEAM GP REC PTS G+/- PTS Remaining
Game
1. X *Los Angeles Galaxy 27 15-9-3 48 +10 51
@ SJ on Saturday
2. X *Columbus Crew 27 11-11-5 38 +2 41 @
CHI on Sunday
3. X San Jose Earthquakes 27 14-10-3 45 +11 48
vs. LA on Saturday
4. X Colorado Rapids 27 13-11-3 42 -5 45 vs.
KC on Friday
5. X Dallas Burn 27 11-9-7 40 0 43 @ DC
on Thursday
6. MetroStars 27 11-14-2 35 -3 38 @ NE
on Saturday
7. Kansas City Wizards 27 9-10-8 35 -8 38
@ COL on Friday
8. N.E. Revolution 27 11-14-2 35 -3 38
vs. MET on Saturday
Chicago Fire 27 10-13-4 34 +4 37 vs.
CLB on Sunday
D.C. United 27 9-13-5 32 -9 35 vs.
DAL on Thursday

X - Clinched a playoff berth * - Conference leader

TIEBREAKER NOTES:
Tiebreak procedures are:
a. Head-to-head competition against all other teams equal in points,
based on highest points-per-game average.
b. Overall team goal differential.
c. Total goals scored.
d-f. Tiebreakers a-c are applied to each team's regular-season road
games only.
g-i. Tiebreakers a-c are applied to each team's regular-season home
games only.
j. Fewest disciplinary points
j. Coin flip.

Among Currently Tied Teams (2-way ties):
35 points:
MET holds 1st tiebreaker against KC (head-to-head competition: 1-0-1)
MET holds 1st tiebreaker against NE (head-to-head: 3-0-0)
KC holds 1st tiebreaker against NE (head-to-head: 2-0-0)

Among Potentially Tied Teams (2-way ties):
48 points:
LA holds 1st tiebreaker against SJ (head-to-head: 2-1-0 - with one
head-to-head matchup remaining)
SJ leads LA in 2nd tiebreaker (goal differential: +1 - with one head-to-head
matchup remaining)
45 points:
SJ leads COL in 2nd tiebreaker (goal differential: +16)
43 points:
DAL holds 1st tiebreaker against COL (head-to-head: 2-1-1)
41 points:
DAL holds 1st tiebreaker against CLB (head-to-head: 1-0-1)
38 points:
NE holds 1st tiebreaker against CLB (head-to-head: 2-1-1)
CLB holds 1st tiebreaker against KC (head-to-head: 1-0-1)
CLB holds 2nd tiebreaker against MET (goal differential: +5)
MET holds 1st tiebreaker against KC (head-to-head competition: 1-0-1)
KC holds 1st tiebreaker against NE (head-to-head: 2-0-0)
36 points:
MET holds 1st tiebreaker against NE (head-to-head: 3-0-1 - in case of MET/NE
tie that would force 36 points)
MET holds 1st tiebreaker against KC (head-to-head competition: 1-0-1)
KC holds 1st tiebreaker against NE (head-to-head: 2-0-0)
35 points:
CHI holds 1st tiebreaker against MET (head-to-head: 3-1-0)
CHI holds 2nd tiebreaker against KC (goal differential: +12)
CHI holds 1st tiebreaker against NE (head-to-head: 2-1-0)
CHI holds 2nd tiebreaker against DC (goal differential: +13)
DC holds 1st tiebreaker against MET (head-to-head: 3-1-0)
MET holds 1st tiebreaker against KC (head-to-head competition: 1-0-1)
KC holds 1st tiebreaker against DC (head-to-head: 2-1-1)
KC holds 1st tiebreaker against NE (head-to-head: 2-0-0)
NE holds 1st tiebreaker against DC (head-to-head: 3-1-0)

Multiple-team tiebreakers:

3-way ties @ 38 points:
SCENARIO Team Record Pts Per Game Winner

#1 CLB / KC / MET ==> CLB 3-2-1 1.83 TBD (CLB
leads MET +5 in goal diff.)
(for seeds #2, 5 and 6) MET 3-2-1 1.83 MET hold tiebreak
with KC
KC 0-2-2 0.50

#2 CLB / KC / NE ==> KC 2-1-1 1.75 Kansas City
(for seeds #2, 5 and 6) CLB 2-2-2 1.33 NE holds tiebreak
over CLB
NE 2-3-1 1.17

3-way ties @ 36 points:
Team Record Pts Per Game Winner
#3 KC / MET / NE ==> MET 4-0-2 2.33 MetroStars
(for seeds #7 and 8) KC 2-1-1 1.75 KC holds tiebreak
over NE
NE 0-5-1 0.17

4-way ties @ 35 points:
Team Record Pts Per Game Winner
#4 CHI / DC / KC / MET ==> CHI 5-3-2 1.70 Chicago
(for #7 seed) DC 5-4-3 1.50 go to Scenario #11
KC 3-3-2 1.38
MET 3-6-1 1.00

#5 CHI / DC / KC / NE ==> KC 5-2-1 2.00 Kansas City
(for #7 seed) CHI 4-3-3 1.50 go to Scenario #8
NE 4-5-1 1.30
DC 3-6-3 1.00

3-way ties @ 35 points:
Team Record Pts Per Game Winner
#6 CHI / DC/ KC ==> KC 3-2-1 1.67 Kansas City
(for #8 seed) DC 2-3-3 1.13 CHI holds tiebreak over DC
CHI 2-2-2 1.00

#7 CHI / DC/ MET ==> CHI 4-2-2 1.75 Chicago
(for #8 seed) DC 4-2-2 1.75 DC holds tiebreak over MET
MET 2-6-0 0.75

#8 CHI / DC / NE ==> NE 4-3-1 1.63 New England
(for #8 seed) CHI 3-2-3 1.50 CHI holds tiebreak over DC
DC 2-4-2 1.00

#9 CHI / KC / MET ==> CHI 4-2-0 2.00 Chicago
(for seeds #7 and 8) MET 2-3-1 1.17 MET holds tiebreak
over KC
KC 1-2-1 1.00

#10 CHI / KC / NE ==> KC 3-1-0 2.25 Kansas City
(for seeds #7 and 8) CHI 3-2-1 1.67 CHI holds tiebreak
over NE
NE 1-4-1 0.67

#11 DC / KC / MET ==> DC 4-3-1 1.63 D.C. United
(for #8 seed) KC 2-2-2 1.33 MET holds tiebreak over KC
MET 2-3-1 1.17

#12 DC / KC / NE ==> KC 4-1-1 2.17 Kansas City
(for #8 seed) NE 3-3-0 1.50 NE holds tiebreak over DC
DC 2-5-1 0.75

FINAL WEEK SCHEDULE (all times ET):

Thursday, September 19
Dallas Burn @ DC United, 7:30 PM - ESPN2

DALLAS: WIN - with 43 points, DAL needs COL draw or loss to gain #4
overall seed and home-field advantage in first round
DRAW - with 41 points, DAL secures #5 overall seed for first
round
LOSS - with 40 points, DAL secures #5 overall seed for first
round

DC UNITED: WIN - with 35 points, DC needs losses by MET AND either CHI
or KC to qualify for postseason
DRAW - with 33 points, DC is eliminated from contention
LOSS - with 32 points, DC is eliminated from contention

Friday, September 20
Kansas City Wizards @ Colorado Rapids, 9:00 PM - MetroSports

KANSAS CITY: WIN - with 38 points, KC qualifies for postseason
DRAW - with 36 points, KC qualifies for postseason
LOSS - with 35 points, KC needs 1) NE or CHI losses, or 2)
NE loss, CHI draw and a DC win to qualify for postseason

COLORADO: WIN - with 45 points, COL guaranteed #4 overall seed for
first round
DRAW - with 43 points, COL needs DAL draw or loss to keep #4
seed in first round; DAL win sends COL to #5 seed
LOSS - with 42 points, COL needs DAL draw or loss to keep #4
seed in first round; DAL win sends COL to #5 seed

Saturday, September 21
MetroStars @ New England Revolution, 7:30 PM - MSG

METROSTARS: WIN - with 38 points, MET qualify for postseason
DRAW - with 36 points, MET qualify for postseason
LOSS - with 35 points, MET need two losses among CHI, DC and
KC to qualify for postseason

NEW ENGLAND: WIN - with 38 points, NE qualify for postseason; win East
title and #2 seed with win and CLB loss
DRAW - with 36 points, NE needs CHI draw or loss to qualify
for postseason (loses tiebreak with MET)
LOSS - with 35 points, NE needs CHI loss to qualify for
postseason (holds tiebreak with DC)

Saturday, September 21
Los Angeles Galaxy @ San Jose Earthquakes, 10:00 PM - KCAL

LOS ANGELES: WIN - with 51 points, LA wins West title and clinches #1
overall seed and home-field throughout playoffs
DRAW - with 49 points, LA wins West title and clinches #1
overall seed and home-field throughout playoffs
LOSS - with 48 points, LA finishes with #3 overall seed and
home-field advantage in first round

SAN JOSE: WIN - with 48 points, SJ wins West title and clinches #1
overall seed and home-field throughout playoffs
DRAW - with 46 points, SJ finishes with #3 overall seed and
home-field advantage in first round
LOSS - with 45 points, SJ finishes with #3 overall seed and
home-field advantage in first round (+16 G+/- over COL)

Sunday, September 22
Columbus Crew @ Chicago Fire, 4:00 PM - Sport TV

COLUMBUS: WIN - with 41 points, CLB wins East title and clinches #2
overall seed and home-field advantage in first round
DRAW - with 39 points, CLB wins East title and clinches #2
overall seed and home-field advantage in first round
LOSS - with 38 points, CLB wins East title with MET win over
NE (assuming goal differential) or MET/NE draw;
finishes #6 overall with NE win over MET

CHICAGO: WIN - with 37 points, CHI qualifies for postseason
DRAW - with 35 points, CHI needs to avoid tiebreak scenarios
5, 6 and 8 (see attached document)
LOSS - with 34 points, CHI eliminated from contention